BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//jEvents 2.0 for Joomla//EN CALSCALE:GREGORIAN METHOD:PUBLISH BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:America/New_York BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20151101T010000 RDATE:20160313T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20161106T010000 RDATE:20170312T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20171105T010000 RDATE:20180311T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20181104T010000 RDATE:20190310T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20191103T010000 RDATE:20200308T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20201101T010000 RDATE:20210314T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20211107T010000 RDATE:20220313T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20221106T010000 RDATE:20230312T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20231105T010000 RDATE:20240310T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20241103T010000 RDATE:20250309T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20251102T010000 RDATE:20260308T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20261101T010000 RDATE:20270314T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20271107T010000 RDATE:20280312T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20281105T010000 RDATE:20290311T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20291104T010000 RDATE:20300310T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20301103T010000 RDATE:20310309T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20311102T010000 RDATE:20320314T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20321107T010000 RDATE:20330313T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20331106T010000 RDATE:20340312T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20341105T010000 RDATE:20350311T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20351104T010000 RDATE:20360309T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20361102T010000 RDATE:20370308T030000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20371101T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:America/New_York EST END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20150915T120000 RDATE:20151101T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20160313T030000 RDATE:20161106T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20170312T030000 RDATE:20171105T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20180311T030000 RDATE:20181104T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20190310T030000 RDATE:20191103T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20200308T030000 RDATE:20201101T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20210314T030000 RDATE:20211107T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20220313T030000 RDATE:20221106T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20230312T030000 RDATE:20231105T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20240310T030000 RDATE:20241103T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20250309T030000 RDATE:20251102T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20260308T030000 RDATE:20261101T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20270314T030000 RDATE:20271107T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20280312T030000 RDATE:20281105T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20290311T030000 RDATE:20291104T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20300310T030000 RDATE:20301103T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20310309T030000 RDATE:20311102T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20320314T030000 RDATE:20321107T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20330313T030000 RDATE:20331106T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20340312T030000 RDATE:20341105T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20350311T030000 RDATE:20351104T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20360309T030000 RDATE:20361102T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20370308T030000 RDATE:20371101T010000 TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:America/New_York EDT END:DAYLIGHT END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT UID:2b1277e885f74ef84c96dfbb91726f3d CATEGORIES:What is cognitive science?:Fall 2016 CREATED:20160808T144520 SUMMARY:The Counterfactual Direct Argument LOCATION:Graduate Student\, Rutgers University\, Department of Philosophy DESCRIPTION:In this paper, I introduce a new principle in the logic of conditionals. Su ppose there has been a murder on the estate. I claim that (1) implies (2):\ n(1) If the driver hadn't done it, then either the butler or the gardener w ould have.\n(2) If the driver hadn't done it, then if the butler hadn't don e it, the gardener would have.\nI develop a series of arguments that this i nference is valid. Then I show that several commonly accepted principles ab out conditionals (for example, Modus Ponens) lead to paradoxical results wh en combined with this one. To validate the principle, and explain why Modus Ponens fails, I offer a new theory of conditionals, involving a distinctiv e method of revising a body of information with an antecedent.\n X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:
In this paper, I introduce a new principle in the logic of conditionals. Suppose there has been a murder on the estate. I claim that (1) implies (2 ):
(1) If the driver hadn't done it, then either the butler or the ga
rdener would have.
(2) If the driver hadn't done it, then if the butle
r hadn't done it, the gardener would have.
I develop a series of argu ments that this inference is valid. Then I show that several commonly accep ted principles about conditionals (for example, Modus Ponens) lead to parad oxical results when combined with this one. To validate the principle, and explain why Modus Ponens fails, I offer a new theory of conditionals, invol ving a distinctive method of revising a body of information with an anteced ent.
CONTACT:Simon Goldstein X-EXTRAINFO:Simon Goldstein (http://simondgoldstein.com/) DTSTAMP:20240329T080315 DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20160915T120000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20160915T130000 SEQUENCE:0 TRANSP:OPAQUE END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR